Tropical Depression Two has formed in the Gulf of America and is expected to cause heavy rains
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is entering its busiest stretch, with forecasters watching early systems for rain, flooding, and travel disruptions. On June 28, the National Hurricane Center said Tropical Depression Two had formed in the Gulf of America, with the main threat centered on heavy rainfall for parts of northeastern Mexico and South Texas. The system was not expected to become a major wind event right away, but federal forecasters said rain bands could still create local flooding concerns.
Tropical Depression Two is now being tracked in the Gulf
The National Hurricane Center confirmed at 4 p.m. CDT on June 28 that Tropical Depression Two had formed in the Gulf of America. In its public advisory, the agency said the depression had maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and was moving generally west-northwest at 12 mph. Forecasters also said tropical storm warnings were posted for parts of the Texas coast and northeastern Mexico as the system organized.
The center of the depression was located over the western Gulf on June 28, according to the National Hurricane Center. The advisory said gradual strengthening was possible before the system reached the coast. The same forecast package stated that rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts up to 10 inches, were possible in parts of South Texas and nearby areas of Mexico.
What is confirmed for Texas and the western Gulf Coast
For Texas, the clearest impact confirmed on June 28 was the risk of heavy rain, especially across the lower Rio Grande Valley and nearby coastal counties. The National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center both said localized flash flooding was possible where heavier rain bands set up. Wind impacts were expected to be more limited than the rainfall threat, based on the federal forecast issued Saturday.
What is not yet known is exactly which cities will see the highest totals or where the heaviest bands will stall. As of the June 28 advisory cycle, forecasters had not released storm-specific damage estimates or a street-level flood map tied only to Tropical Depression Two. Travel impacts could vary from Brownsville to Corpus Christi depending on the final track and how quickly the system moves inland, according to federal forecasts.
Why this system matters and what residents can expect next
The reason this depression is drawing attention is simple: even weaker tropical systems can drop significant rain in a short time. The National Hurricane Center said the broad circulation and deep tropical moisture feeding into the western Gulf Coast could produce flooding rain even if the system stays near tropical depression strength. That pattern has caused problems in prior Gulf systems, especially in low-lying coastal areas.
For residents and travelers, the practical takeaway on June 28 was that rain and localized flooding were the main issues to watch, not a major wind disaster. The National Hurricane Center said the system was expected to move inland near northeastern Mexico or South Texas by late June 29. Forecast updates were expected every few hours as federal agencies refined the track, rainfall totals, and any coastal warnings.
